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Politics
Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor?
This market considers whether Xi Jinping will name a successor before January 1, 2045.
KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01GEOPOLITICS_SECURITYOverpriced
Market Summary
The market appears overpriced given Xi Jinping’s continued consolidation of power.
Analysis
Xi Jinping removed presidential term limits in 2018 and secured a third term in 2022, accompanied by the revival of the 'People’s Leader' title. As of 2026, there are no public indications of succession planning or designated successors. These factors suggest the market may be overestimating the likelihood of a named successor by 2045.